For those who are interested: 2008 electoral results by comune, Camera, zip file. The results were scraped from the Ministry of the Interior website using a quick Perl program, then transposed in R.
When the Prodi government fell, I posted a note explaining how the government’s duration could have been predicted by models from political science. I thought I would do the same for the Berlusconi government now that we know the seat distribution in the Senate.
The model [King et al. 1990] depends on seven variables. The [...]