'elections' Tag

  • Nov
    11
    2010

    Italian election next spring?

    It seems that the current Berlusconi government won’t now carry on as it was.
    If Berlusconi wants to stay in power, he can try and bring the UDC on board. But sa molto di Prima Repubblica, of the kinds of variable geometries that Berlusconi disdains and tried to make unconstitutional.
    So it looks like dojero was [...]

  • Aug
    05
    2010

    Party financing bleg

    Anyone know how much, as a percent, each party asks its deputies and senators to contribute to the party from their indennità? or how this is enforced? or if there’s a paper trial?

  • May
    13
    2010

    The 55% solution

    The LibCon coalition’s first mistake (excepting any original sin) seems to be requiring a supermajority of 55% for motions of no confidence motions of no confidence leading to dissolution. There’s already a protest group.
    Andrew Rudalevige explains the significance of 55% very succinctly at the Monkey Cage. (I’m not aware of any other supermajority requirements in [...]

  • May
    12
    2010

    Uniform national swing now officially not awful

    Geektastic discussion at PoliticsHome.

  • May
    07
    2010

    What is a bad deal in a LibCon coalition?

    The election result in the UK was astonishingly close the results predicted by the BBC/Sky exit poll, with the Conservatives at 307, somewhat short of a majority.
    I don’t know what this means for arcane debates about uniform versus proportional swing; the swings during the night were all over the place. It’s possible that uniform national [...]

  • Apr
    24
    2010

    Best site for seat share projections in the UK

    Is here. It’s a Ford-Jennings-Pickup-Wlezien coproduction.

  • Apr
    19
    2010

    Vote share != Seat share

    Okay, so uniform national swing doesn’t really work, but just to note that it’s possible to plug in numbers (33:32:26 LD:Con:Lab) from some recent polls, and have  Lib Dem > Con > Lab in vote share, but Lab > Con > LibDem in seat share. Messy.

 
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